Election Year Stock Market Volatility
Kuala lumpur dec 16.
Election year stock market volatility. Landon 1940 9 8 roosevelt vs. Historically general election years have been highlighted by volatility in the stock market. A general election is one in which the country votes for president as well as congressional representatives and senators.
The cboe vix. Wells fargo analysts found that election day is priced for four times the volatility of a typical trading day in this market based on the difference between at the money volatility on two month. On nov 28 prime minister tan sri muhyiddin yassin indicated in his speech that a general election would take.
Willkie 1944 19 7 roosevelt vs. For investors it s important to step back put. Hoover 1936 33 9 roosevelt vs.
Historically volatility in the stock market is elevated in the months leading up to an election. The best thing you can do is ignore it. S p 500 annual stock market returns during election years year return candidates 1928 43 6 hoover vs.
Since 1950 september has tended to be the stock market s worst month of the year with an average loss of 57 for the s p 500. Volatility shorts were hammered earlier this year when the vix spiked to a record during the covid crash with fewer systematic options sellers having returned to the market since then. The 15th general election ge15 is likely to be held in the second half of 2021 2h2021 once the covid 19 pandemic subsides and if the country is able to control the spread of the outbreak through a mass vaccination programme said cgs cimb securities sdn bhd.
The only other month that has posted negative returns is august. It s been a rocky year without throwing a heated election into the mix and. Smith 1932 8 2 roosevelt vs.