Election Stock Market Returns

For example the average return for the six month period following the election month is about 7 5 but the range goes as far as about 14 to more than 56.

Election stock market returns. Overall s p 500 returns have averaged about 11 8 during trump s first term in office. After an election stock market returns tend to be slightly lower for the following year while bonds tend to outperform slightly after the election. S p 500 annual stock market returns during election years year return candidates 1928 43 6 hoover vs.

Since 1952 the dow jones industrial average has climbed 10 1 on average during election years when a sitting president has run for reelection according to the stock trader s almanac which is. Some of his supporters pointed to the huge stock market run up in the days after his election as evidence of the optimism leading into his term. History suggests that us stock market returns are correlated with the presidential election cycle.

So always focus first on the economy and corporate earnings. I posted in past comparing the stock market return over recent presidential terms and it turns out president trump s term ranks 7th out of the last 10. Landon 1940 9 8 roosevelt vs.

On average returns are positive in all three periods for the 23 election years but returns vary widely. As of market close on august 17 th 2020 the s p 500 was up 4 68 year to date total return and bloomberg barclays us. Hoover 1936 33 9 roosevelt vs.

Stock market returns surge after election prev next comments 0 listen to article whatsapp facebook twitter email this print this trading activity strengthened in value terms as 25 51m. Historical returns of stocks and bonds during election years. Willkie 1944 19 7 roosevelt vs.

From 1952 through june 2020 annualized real stock market returns under democrats have been 10 6 compared with 4 8 for republicans. But there are some clear exceptions. Smith 1932 8 2 roosevelt vs.